Bloomberg Consensus of Predictions for Year-End 2012 (unless otherwise noted):
1. UP Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index: 1,428 Current: 1,229
2. UP 10-year Treasury yield: 2.86% Current: 2.14%
3. DOWN Inflation rate: 2.05% Current: 3.9%
4. DOWN Unemployment rate: 8.7% Current: 9.1%
5. UP GDP growth in fourth quarter: 2.5% Second quarter, 2011: 1.3%
6. UP Gold price per ounce on Sept. 30, 2012: $1,835 Current: $1,704
7. UP Value of euro: $1.40 Current: $1.39
8. DOWN S&P/Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Home Price Index: 136.6 Current: 142.8
9. UP Barrel of oil: $95 Current: $92.58
Analysts are rather optimistic, except for the Case-Shiller index.
They also don't see huge swings in the markets (they never do).
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